1st Round Mock – 4/19

1. Indianapolis – Andrew Luck, QB Stanford

Jim Irsay gets his quarterback, although given the family’s track record and his penchant for Twitter, I’m not sure this is a good thing for Luck.

2. Washington (f/STL) – Robert Griffin III, QB Baylor

Despite Donovan McNabb’s warnings, I’m pretty sure Mike Shanahan is still going to pull the trigger on RGIII. All jokes aside, this is a major step forward for the ‘Skins and has to get the attention of the rest of the NFC East.

3. Minnesota – Matt Kalil, OT USC

Despite all of the trade talk I simply don’t think the Vikings can afford to pass on a franchise left tackle. The gap between Kalil and every other player at his position in this class is huge.

4. Cleveland – Morris Claiborne, CB LSU

My question comes down to who is running the draft in Cleveland. If it’s Tom Heckert, I believe the pick will be Morris Claiborne to pair with the young and talented Joe Haden. If it’s Holmgren, we may see Trent Richardson come off the board.

5. Tampa Bay – Trent Richardson, RB Alabama

This has been the player I’ve felt all along that Greg Schiano will want to get his paws on and I’m still inclined to lean that way. Tampa Bay has a very solid OL and they need a star RB to utilize it.

6. St. Louis (f/Wash) – Justin Blackmon, WR Oklahoma State

Blackmon represents what the Rams need, a go-to option in their receiving corps that Sam Bradford can lean on and build toward the future with.

7. Jacksonville – Melvin Ingram, DE South Carolina

Ideally, the Jags would love to trade back and gain extra picks, but gaining a quality pass rusher here in Melvin Ingram is nothing to shake a stick at. If there is any player that reeks of a Gene Smith prospect to me it’s Ingram.

8. Miami – Ryan Tannehill, QB Texas A&M

After all is said and done I believe Tannehill will actually fall to the Dolphins. Even with the inflated value put on the quarterback position – Tannehill simply isn’t worth a Top 5 pick.

9. Carolina – Michael Floyd, WR Notre Dame

While he may not stand out to people as an immediate need, Michael Floyd further opens up an offense that Cam Newton settled into nicely last season as a rookie. The former Irish standout is a nice compliment to Steve Smith and gives them the size they have looked for in the past with players like David Gettis in the draft.

10. Philadelphia (f/Buff) – Fletcher Cox, DT Mississippi State

**TRADE*** – Eagles give picks 15, 88 and a 2013 3rd round pick

Cox is the player I said I thought the Eagles would target for months and I’ll be sticking to my guns until draft day. Unfortunately for the Birds – I don’t see any way he makes it through KC and Dallas – but a quick trade with Buffalo who doesn’t see value on the board saves the day.

11. Kansas City – Michael Brockers, DT LSU

Cox is the player I think the Chiefs would love to get their hands on, however if they strike out there they could go with Michael Brockers as a five-tech for their system. Glenn Dorsey was not drafted by the current front office and will his small frame – 6-foot-1, 297 pounds – I doubt they’ll retain him. The one player I do wonder if they’d pass on though is David DeCastro.

12. Seattle – David DeCastro, OG Stanford

Many rumors have been out there that the ‘Hawks covet Courtney Upshaw and Tony Pauline who is very respected is even reporting it. It doesn’t make sense in terms of value, but it does how Pete Carroll uses his ‘backers. I just get the gut feeling that DeCastro’s value and their need will trump that.

13. Arizona – Luke Kuechly, LB Boston College

The Cardinals signed Stewart Bradley in free agency and he turned out to be a total bust. Kuechly is the type of player that could end up being a mainstay in the middle of their defense for the next several years.

14. Dallas – Mark Barron, S Alabama

Honestly, I think this would be a horrible pick from a value standpoint, but rumors have the Cowboys going for Dontari Poe or Mark Barron. The Cowboys haven’t taken a player who hasn’t visited them privately in nearly a decade, nixing Poe. I thought heavily about Cordy Glenn here as their OG position is horribly weak, but it’s not my team.

15. Buffalo (f/Phi) – Jonathan Martin, OT Stanford

***TRADE***

The Bills trade back and still have a left tackle on the board to fill the void, picking up two extra thirds in the process. My initial thought would be Cordy Glenn given the Bills’ penchant for SEC players, but I’m just not certain he’s a surefire LT which they definitely need here.

16. N.Y. Jets – Stephen Hill, WR Georgia Tech

Hill has been to New York to visit with the Jets and they do need help at the position. He gives them the size to replace Plaxico Burress and a red zone weapon that they don’t necessarily have in Holmes or the diminutive Dustin Keller. A trade up with their 2nd rounder for Melvin Ingram to Jacksonville is a possibility as well.

17. Cincinnati (f/Oak) – Quentin Coples, DE UNC

Marvin Lewis brought in some new additions at defensive end after losing players this offseason, but the possibility of Coples falling is there and if he does – I’d be surprised if the Bengals passed up on him.

18. San Diego – Cordy Glenn, OL Georgia

Kris Dielman retired this offseason and Marcus McNeill also left in free agency, so while San Diego could use a pass rusher and help in the secondary a player like Glenn who could play all along the offensive line would help.

19. Chicago – Mike Adams, OT Ohio State

Kendall Wright has to be enticing to complete an explosive offense. That said if the Bears don’t start fixing their offensive line problems Jay Cutler may be in a body bag by mid season.

20. Tennessee – Dre Kirkpatrick, CB Alabama

The Titans will certainly be looking for players to revamp their secondary and Kirkpatrick and Stephon Gilmore are two corners I think they’d really covet in the 1st round.

21. Cincinnati – Kendall Wright, WR Oklahoma State

Pairing Wright with AJ Green could end up being a very potent combination for Andy Dalton to work with going into the future. There are other players on the board that would surely pique their interest; however Wright could make them explosive.

22. Cleveland (f/Atl) – Riley Reiff, OT Iowa

Tom Heckert needs to find the future at right tackle and Reiff could certainly represent that.

23. Detroit – Stephon Gilmore, CB South Carolina

Jim Schwartz likes his big press corners and the Lions could certainly use upgrades at the position. The former Gamecock certainly fits into their system and is a player I could see Detroit really liking.

24. Pittsburgh – Courtney Upshaw, OLB Alabama

Pittsburgh could get younger at inside and outside linebacker and Upshaw is the type of thumping, physical presence they like. His versatility would make him a weapon to the Steelers.

25. Denver – Dontari Poe, DT Memphis

It’s a week before the draft and I’m starting to wonder just how high Dontari Poe actually does go in this draft. I see a third round player on film and ask – can NFL scouts all see the same and ignore that?

26. Houston – Whitney Mercilus, OLB Illinois

Rushing the passer is key for Rick Smith and while they still have Connor Barwin and Brooks Reeds on the outside – both of those players had huge production with Mario Williams there last season. The Texans like athletic rushers and want fresh legs on the field, so a third like Mercilus would fit.

27. New England (f/NO) – Shea McClellin, OLB Boise State

As usual, there is a player that I think fits what the Patriots will be looking for in an outside linebacker. For those of you reading this – it means there is no way that Shea will end up in New England. Belichick is impossible to read.

28. Green Bay – Peter Konz, C Wisconsin

The Packers just signed Jeff Saturday, but he enters the season the ripe age of 37. Konz is a player that can also play guard without problem in a pinch and gives the Packers the ability to take a pass rusher when value is there.

29. Baltimore – Kevin Zeitler, OG Wisconsin

Baltimore lost Ben Grubbs in free agency and unless they’re planning on plugging Jah Reid in at guard, they’ll need to find a replacement. Zeitler is one of the offensive guards in this draft that may be ready to start from day one, so I see them going for him over a player like Amini Silatolu who may need to acclimate a bit more.

30. San Francisco – Amini Silatolu, OG Midwestern State

Daniel Kilgore is not the answer and I believe Silatolu’s upside will vault him into the end of the 1st round.

31. Philadelphia (f/NE) – Coby Fleener, TE Stanford

***TRADE*** – Eagles give picks 46, 114 and a 2013 4th round pick

I firmly believe the Eagles will come out of the first two rounds with either Fleener or Dwayne Allen. They have a bounty of picks to work with however and that means they can be aggressive and get back up into the first with a team they often trade with – the Patriots. Fleener gives them an outstanding red zone weapon and second tight end with a different skill set from Brent Celek.

32. N.Y. Giants – Kelechi Osemele, OL Iowa State

The Giants went with three players in David Diehl, Kevin Boothe and Mitch Petrus at left guard last season and none were ideal. On top of that – their line is aging a bit and getting run down – something they must be cognizant of. Osemele can play guard or right tackle for them in the future.

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8 Responses to 1st Round Mock – 4/19

  1. MunichEagles says:

    I love this mock idea. But my guess is that in order to get Fleener we have to trade up before the 49ers.

    But if this mock is the way to go: Great, even if we miss out on a guy like Lavonte David in the 2nd round due to our uptrade.

    In a 32 person mock draft my draft went like this:

    Pick # 15 Eagles – Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama
    Cox, Kuechly, Upshaw, Ingram and Coples all gone.

    Pick # 46 Eagles – Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State
    Pick # 51 Eagles (from Cardinals) – Bobby Wagner, LB, Utah State
    Pick # 88 Eagles (from Texans) – Trumaine Johnson, CB, Montana
    Pick # 114 Eagles – Joe Adams, WR, Arkansas
    Pick # 153 Eagles – Nate Potter, OT, Boise State (Zwangspick)
    Pick # 172 Eagles (from Colts) – Jack Crawford, DE, Penn State
    Pick # 194 Eagles (from Broncos) – Kelcie McCray, S, Arkansas State
    Pick # 200 Eagles (from Patriots) – Evan Rodriguez, FB/RB/TE Temple

  2. Gavin says:

    Wanna make a gentleman’s bet that the Pats don’t trade either of their first rounders? OR, if they do, they’ll get a future first rounder?

    I just don’t think that there will be as much trading as there has been in the past because, with the rookie slotting, there is now greater value in actually using your picks early on.

    PS and OT — Your Phillies are talking about drafting a kid from my HS early on in the draft!

  3. Matt Alkire says:

    Munich – Was Floyd gone? I’ll bet you they’d take him before Kirkpatrick.

    Gavin – I would never put money on anything the Patriots do. That’s like playing cards with a guy whose first name is also a state. Bad idea.

  4. mark_in_jax says:

    Can see us trading up once early but not twice. Think there is a better chance we would trade down twice early rather than up twice early. Don’t think Andy is in “panic mode”. Trading 1st + 2nd + 3rd +4th + 2013 3rd + 2013 4th for Cox and Fleener is the “definition” of “panic mode”. More likely to see 1st + 2nd for Tannehill.

  5. T_S_O_P says:

    Still reading but I complete agree that with the first OL off the board. DeCastro is a special talent, in a sense I wish we needed him so that we could have a shot at drafting him.

  6. Matt Alkire says:

    Mark in Jax – Remember, when I do a mock it’s to show who I think the Eagles will target, so I may not necessarily think both will happen.

    The Eagles could sit back and draft Dwayne Allen in the 2nd round. Maybe Fleener doesn’t go as high. Maybe they can’t trade up in the 1st, so they stay put, grab someone and move up for just Fleener.

    I’m going to project what I think will happen in terms of picks. In the end that may mean that I have them going super aggressive, trading back, etc. The goal for me is to have them get the players I feel they’ll target and have it make sense of how that selection comes to fruition.

    Also, I don’t think trading twice is “panic mode”. They’d still have 7 picks in the draft.

    • mark_in_jax says:

      Thanks Matt. I better understand your “mock” now. By “panic mode” I meant that trading future picks is very out of character for this regime. AR has his faults but he doesn’t seem like the type to sacrifice “tomorrow” for job security.

  7. Arby says:

    Matt – I have to agree with mark_in_jax. Trading future picks just is not Andy’s MO. I do agree Buffalo is our trading partner though, for either Cox (who I believe won’t get past Carolina) or Kueckley (who you’ve pointed out won’t get past KC or Seattle).

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