1. Indianapolis – Andrew Luck, QB Stanford
Jim Irsay gets his quarterback, although given the family’s track record and his penchant for Twitter, I’m not sure this is a good thing for Luck.
2. Washington (f/STL) – Robert Griffin III, QB Baylor
Despite Donovan McNabb’s warnings, I’m pretty sure Mike Shanahan is still going to pull the trigger on RGIII. All jokes aside, this is a major step forward for the ‘Skins and has to get the attention of the rest of the NFC East.
3. Minnesota – Matt Kalil, OT USC
Despite all of the trade talk I simply don’t think the Vikings can afford to pass on a franchise left tackle. The gap between Kalil and every other player at his position in this class is huge.
4. Cleveland – Morris Claiborne, CB LSU
My question comes down to who is running the draft in Cleveland. If it’s Tom Heckert, I believe the pick will be Morris Claiborne to pair with the young and talented Joe Haden. If it’s Holmgren, we may see Trent Richardson come off the board.
5. Tampa Bay – Trent Richardson, RB Alabama
This has been the player I’ve felt all along that Greg Schiano will want to get his paws on and I’m still inclined to lean that way. Tampa Bay has a very solid OL and they need a star RB to utilize it.
6. St. Louis (f/Wash) – Justin Blackmon, WR Oklahoma State
Blackmon represents what the Rams need, a go-to option in their receiving corps that Sam Bradford can lean on and build toward the future with.
7. Jacksonville – Melvin Ingram, DE South Carolina
Ideally, the Jags would love to trade back and gain extra picks, but gaining a quality pass rusher here in Melvin Ingram is nothing to shake a stick at. If there is any player that reeks of a Gene Smith prospect to me it’s Ingram.
8. Miami – Ryan Tannehill, QB Texas A&M
After all is said and done I believe Tannehill will actually fall to the Dolphins. Even with the inflated value put on the quarterback position – Tannehill simply isn’t worth a Top 5 pick.
9. Carolina – Michael Floyd, WR Notre Dame
While he may not stand out to people as an immediate need, Michael Floyd further opens up an offense that Cam Newton settled into nicely last season as a rookie. The former Irish standout is a nice compliment to Steve Smith and gives them the size they have looked for in the past with players like David Gettis in the draft.
10. Philadelphia (f/Buff) – Fletcher Cox, DT Mississippi State
**TRADE*** – Eagles give picks 15, 88 and a 2013 3rd round pick
Cox is the player I said I thought the Eagles would target for months and I’ll be sticking to my guns until draft day. Unfortunately for the Birds – I don’t see any way he makes it through KC and Dallas – but a quick trade with Buffalo who doesn’t see value on the board saves the day.
11. Kansas City – Michael Brockers, DT LSU
Cox is the player I think the Chiefs would love to get their hands on, however if they strike out there they could go with Michael Brockers as a five-tech for their system. Glenn Dorsey was not drafted by the current front office and will his small frame – 6-foot-1, 297 pounds – I doubt they’ll retain him. The one player I do wonder if they’d pass on though is David DeCastro.
12. Seattle – David DeCastro, OG Stanford
Many rumors have been out there that the ‘Hawks covet Courtney Upshaw and Tony Pauline who is very respected is even reporting it. It doesn’t make sense in terms of value, but it does how Pete Carroll uses his ‘backers. I just get the gut feeling that DeCastro’s value and their need will trump that.
13. Arizona – Luke Kuechly, LB Boston College
The Cardinals signed Stewart Bradley in free agency and he turned out to be a total bust. Kuechly is the type of player that could end up being a mainstay in the middle of their defense for the next several years.
14. Dallas – Mark Barron, S Alabama
Honestly, I think this would be a horrible pick from a value standpoint, but rumors have the Cowboys going for Dontari Poe or Mark Barron. The Cowboys haven’t taken a player who hasn’t visited them privately in nearly a decade, nixing Poe. I thought heavily about Cordy Glenn here as their OG position is horribly weak, but it’s not my team.
15. Buffalo (f/Phi) – Jonathan Martin, OT Stanford
The Bills trade back and still have a left tackle on the board to fill the void, picking up two extra thirds in the process. My initial thought would be Cordy Glenn given the Bills’ penchant for SEC players, but I’m just not certain he’s a surefire LT which they definitely need here.
16. N.Y. Jets – Stephen Hill, WR Georgia Tech
Hill has been to New York to visit with the Jets and they do need help at the position. He gives them the size to replace Plaxico Burress and a red zone weapon that they don’t necessarily have in Holmes or the diminutive Dustin Keller. A trade up with their 2nd rounder for Melvin Ingram to Jacksonville is a possibility as well.
17. Cincinnati (f/Oak) – Quentin Coples, DE UNC
Marvin Lewis brought in some new additions at defensive end after losing players this offseason, but the possibility of Coples falling is there and if he does – I’d be surprised if the Bengals passed up on him.
18. San Diego – Cordy Glenn, OL Georgia
Kris Dielman retired this offseason and Marcus McNeill also left in free agency, so while San Diego could use a pass rusher and help in the secondary a player like Glenn who could play all along the offensive line would help.
19. Chicago – Mike Adams, OT Ohio State
Kendall Wright has to be enticing to complete an explosive offense. That said if the Bears don’t start fixing their offensive line problems Jay Cutler may be in a body bag by mid season.
20. Tennessee – Dre Kirkpatrick, CB Alabama
The Titans will certainly be looking for players to revamp their secondary and Kirkpatrick and Stephon Gilmore are two corners I think they’d really covet in the 1st round.
21. Cincinnati – Kendall Wright, WR Oklahoma State
Pairing Wright with AJ Green could end up being a very potent combination for Andy Dalton to work with going into the future. There are other players on the board that would surely pique their interest; however Wright could make them explosive.
22. Cleveland (f/Atl) – Riley Reiff, OT Iowa
Tom Heckert needs to find the future at right tackle and Reiff could certainly represent that.
23. Detroit – Stephon Gilmore, CB South Carolina
Jim Schwartz likes his big press corners and the Lions could certainly use upgrades at the position. The former Gamecock certainly fits into their system and is a player I could see Detroit really liking.
24. Pittsburgh – Courtney Upshaw, OLB Alabama
Pittsburgh could get younger at inside and outside linebacker and Upshaw is the type of thumping, physical presence they like. His versatility would make him a weapon to the Steelers.
25. Denver – Dontari Poe, DT Memphis
It’s a week before the draft and I’m starting to wonder just how high Dontari Poe actually does go in this draft. I see a third round player on film and ask – can NFL scouts all see the same and ignore that?
26. Houston – Whitney Mercilus, OLB Illinois
Rushing the passer is key for Rick Smith and while they still have Connor Barwin and Brooks Reeds on the outside – both of those players had huge production with Mario Williams there last season. The Texans like athletic rushers and want fresh legs on the field, so a third like Mercilus would fit.
27. New England (f/NO) – Shea McClellin, OLB Boise State
As usual, there is a player that I think fits what the Patriots will be looking for in an outside linebacker. For those of you reading this – it means there is no way that Shea will end up in New England. Belichick is impossible to read.
28. Green Bay – Peter Konz, C Wisconsin
The Packers just signed Jeff Saturday, but he enters the season the ripe age of 37. Konz is a player that can also play guard without problem in a pinch and gives the Packers the ability to take a pass rusher when value is there.
29. Baltimore – Kevin Zeitler, OG Wisconsin
Baltimore lost Ben Grubbs in free agency and unless they’re planning on plugging Jah Reid in at guard, they’ll need to find a replacement. Zeitler is one of the offensive guards in this draft that may be ready to start from day one, so I see them going for him over a player like Amini Silatolu who may need to acclimate a bit more.
30. San Francisco – Amini Silatolu, OG Midwestern State
Daniel Kilgore is not the answer and I believe Silatolu’s upside will vault him into the end of the 1st round.
31. Philadelphia (f/NE) – Coby Fleener, TE Stanford
***TRADE*** – Eagles give picks 46, 114 and a 2013 4th round pick
I firmly believe the Eagles will come out of the first two rounds with either Fleener or Dwayne Allen. They have a bounty of picks to work with however and that means they can be aggressive and get back up into the first with a team they often trade with – the Patriots. Fleener gives them an outstanding red zone weapon and second tight end with a different skill set from Brent Celek.
32. N.Y. Giants – Kelechi Osemele, OL Iowa State
The Giants went with three players in David Diehl, Kevin Boothe and Mitch Petrus at left guard last season and none were ideal. On top of that – their line is aging a bit and getting run down – something they must be cognizant of. Osemele can play guard or right tackle for them in the future.